Sturm Graz vs Sporting CP tips and predictions

Champions League match offers big price against Sturm Graz triumph

The home side isn't expected to put a spanner in the works but all things considered, they represent the value.

The hosts are coming into the match having logged 9 home wins from their last 12. For sure, it will be a big shock to see Sturm Graz get this done but they might just tear up the form book.

Sturm Graz are going to need some tremendously good fortune on their side. If the hosts have the self-belief to get the job done it will be due to the confidence they gained from their recent performances. This home team is playing some decent stuff and they're gaining some momentum. They have scored two or more goals in 15 of their recent 20 matches and that's been backed up throughout the squad. At the back they have conceded no more than once in 16 of their last 20 home games.

There have been performances where Sporting CP have lost their shape and they haven't had the requisite discipline to resist pressure. They have conceded at least once in 2 of their last 3 matches. To compound these issues, goals are conspicuous by their absence. Averaging just 1.7 goals in their last 3 matches, Sporting CP have let some recent chances slip out of their grasp.

Sporting CP will want to further justify their short price with a clean sheet at full-time. The No BTTS bet seems like it's the only option that offers any value in that market. In the total goals market, it's fewer than four goals in this match considering the price on offer.

The hosts have made incremental changes to close the gap between them and their rivals. It would be disingenuous to suggest Sporting CP are not likely to win but the hosts have been scoring goals and they have reasons to be confident.